GRG - Ticker AI Digest

Greggs PLC ๐Ÿ“ฐ 1
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GRG Data 2026-01-15 Preview Mode

Digested News

Today's Catalysts (GRG) 1
GRG 13:58
Greggs PLC
Holding(s) in Company
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TR1 Buy
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TR1 1
GRG 13:58
Greggs PLC
Holding(s) in Company
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TR1 Buy
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Updates 2
GRG 06:01
Greggs PLC
Q4 Trading Update
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**Greggs PLC Q4 Trading Update Summary (January 8, 2026):**
Greggs PLC reported strong performance in Q4 and FY25 despite challenging market conditions, highlighting continued outperformance and market share gains in the food-to-go sector.
**Key Highlights**
* **Sales Growth** Total sales increased 7.4% in Q4 and 6.8% for FY25, reaching ยฃ2,151 million. Like-for-like sales in company-managed shops grew 2.9% in Q4 and 2.4% for the full year.
* **Market Share Gains** Greggs continued to gain market share in visits, including breakfast and evening slots, despite subdued consumer confidence.
* **Estate Expansion** 207 new shops opened in 2025, resulting in a net increase of 121 shops. 2,739 shops were trading as of December 27, 2025, with plans for around 120 net new openings in 2026.
* **Supply Chain Investment** Development of new supply chain capacity, including the Derby frozen product facility (phased rollout from mid-2026) and Kettering chilled/ambient distribution center (opening 2027), is on track to support growth.
* **Financial Position** Year-end net cash stood at ยฃ47 million, down from ยฃ125 million in 2024 due to peak investment in supply chain. Capex is expected to significantly reduce in 2026 and 2027.
* **Outlook** Greggs anticipates full-year FY25 profits in line with expectations. While consumer confidence remains a headwind, they expect similar underlying profits in 2026, driven by store openings, cost management, and continued market share gains.
**CEO Comment**
Roisin Currie, CEO, emphasized Greggs resilience in a challenging market, highlighting their focus on value, convenience, and supply chain efficiency. She expressed confidence in the companys growth prospects, supported by new store openings and supply chain investments.
Below is the HTML table code comparing the financials and debt (net cash position) year-on-year for Greggs PLC based on the provided text:
Metric20242025Change
Total Sales (ยฃ million)2,0142,151+6.8%
Company-Managed Shop Like-for-Like Sales GrowthN/A+2.4%N/A
Net Cash Position (ยฃ million)12547-62.4%
New Shops OpenedN/A207N/A
Net New Shop OpeningsN/A121N/A
Total Shops Trading (as of year-end)N/A2,739N/A
### Notes: 1. **Total Sales** and **Net Cash Position** are directly comparable year-on-year. 2. **Company-Managed Shop Like-for-Like Sales Growth** is only provided for 2025, so no comparison is available. 3. **New Shops Opened**, **Net New Shop Openings**, and **Total Shops Trading** are only provided for 2025, so no comparison is available. 4. The percentage change in **Net Cash Position** is calculated as: `( (ยฃ47 - ยฃ125) / ยฃ125 ) * 100 = -62.4%`. This table provides a clear comparison of the key financials and debt position between 2024 and 2025 for Greggs PLC.
GRG 06:01
Greggs PLC
Notice of Trading Update
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All Market News (Last 30 Days) 4
GRG 13:58
Greggs PLC
Holding(s) in Company
AI Expand: Explanation + Tables
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TR1 Buy
GRG 06:01
Greggs PLC
Q4 Trading Update
AI Expand: Explanation + Tables
Return to todayโ€™s catalyst cards, chart beacons and AI charts.
**Greggs PLC Q4 Trading Update Summary (January 8, 2026):**
Greggs PLC reported strong performance in Q4 and FY25 despite challenging market conditions, highlighting continued outperformance and market share gains in the food-to-go sector.
**Key Highlights**
* **Sales Growth** Total sales increased 7.4% in Q4 and 6.8% for FY25, reaching ยฃ2,151 million. Like-for-like sales in company-managed shops grew 2.9% in Q4 and 2.4% for the full year.
* **Market Share Gains** Greggs continued to gain market share in visits, including breakfast and evening slots, despite subdued consumer confidence.
* **Estate Expansion** 207 new shops opened in 2025, resulting in a net increase of 121 shops. 2,739 shops were trading as of December 27, 2025, with plans for around 120 net new openings in 2026.
* **Supply Chain Investment** Development of new supply chain capacity, including the Derby frozen product facility (phased rollout from mid-2026) and Kettering chilled/ambient distribution center (opening 2027), is on track to support growth.
* **Financial Position** Year-end net cash stood at ยฃ47 million, down from ยฃ125 million in 2024 due to peak investment in supply chain. Capex is expected to significantly reduce in 2026 and 2027.
* **Outlook** Greggs anticipates full-year FY25 profits in line with expectations. While consumer confidence remains a headwind, they expect similar underlying profits in 2026, driven by store openings, cost management, and continued market share gains.
**CEO Comment**
Roisin Currie, CEO, emphasized Greggs resilience in a challenging market, highlighting their focus on value, convenience, and supply chain efficiency. She expressed confidence in the companys growth prospects, supported by new store openings and supply chain investments.
Below is the HTML table code comparing the financials and debt (net cash position) year-on-year for Greggs PLC based on the provided text:
Metric20242025Change
Total Sales (ยฃ million)2,0142,151+6.8%
Company-Managed Shop Like-for-Like Sales GrowthN/A+2.4%N/A
Net Cash Position (ยฃ million)12547-62.4%
New Shops OpenedN/A207N/A
Net New Shop OpeningsN/A121N/A
Total Shops Trading (as of year-end)N/A2,739N/A
### Notes: 1. **Total Sales** and **Net Cash Position** are directly comparable year-on-year. 2. **Company-Managed Shop Like-for-Like Sales Growth** is only provided for 2025, so no comparison is available. 3. **New Shops Opened**, **Net New Shop Openings**, and **Total Shops Trading** are only provided for 2025, so no comparison is available. 4. The percentage change in **Net Cash Position** is calculated as: `( (ยฃ47 - ยฃ125) / ยฃ125 ) * 100 = -62.4%`. This table provides a clear comparison of the key financials and debt position between 2024 and 2025 for Greggs PLC.
GRG 06:01
Greggs PLC
Notice of Trading Update

Today's AI

Today's AI Starts With News

1 live catalyst is opening Today’s AI for GRG.

Start with the live headline tape first. Today’s AI findings sit next, and the AI Blend stack drops lower once the news context is framed. Financial Forecastist now feeds the blend too.
Live Tape Data 2026-01-15 Blend Lower Down
Read the alert tape first, then open Today’s AI findings. Use AI Expand on any card to open the AI explanation, results tables and financial forecast rows instantly.
1 Today
Front Of Desk
Greggs PLC has fresh news flow live now, so Today’s AI is leading with the tape before the blended signal stack below.
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Fundamentals Matrix

Overall Fundamentals
Signal: Pending
Capital Strength
Signal: Pending
Float Liquidity
Signal: Pending
Short Pressure
Signal: Pending
Target Setup
Signal: Pending
Market Profile
Signal: Pending
Market Cap
1.7B
Enterprise Value
2.4B
Public Float
98.3
Broker Target
1700.6001
Shares Out
102.0M
Long Interest
85
Short Interest
15
Exchange
LSE
Currency Code
GBX
ISIN
GB00B63QSB39
Market
LSE - MAIN MARKET
Sector
Personal Care, Drug and Grocery Stores
Float / Shares Ratio
-
Short vs Long Delta
-
EV / Market Cap
-

Financials Matrix

News And Alerts First

1 live alert now opens the financials desk for GRG.

Start with the headline flow and alert tape first. Then drop straight into Financial Forecastist below for the revenue path, EPS shape, cash pressure and balance-sheet read while the catalyst context is still hot.
Live Alerts Data 2026-01-15 Forecastist Below
Read the alert tape first, then move into Financial Forecastist below. Use AI Expand on any catalyst card to open the AI explanation and results tables without losing the ticker context.
1 Alerts
Front Of Desk
Greggs PLC has fresh filing flow live now, so the tape is framing the revenue, leverage and valuation story below.
Overall Stability
Signal: Pending
Profitability
Signal: Pending
Debt & Cash
Signal: Pending
Valuation Risk
Signal: Pending
Forward Expectation
Signal: Pending
Dividend Safety
Signal: Pending
Divi Rate
0.69
Ex Divi
2026-04-30
Earnings Date
2026-03-03
Net Debt
404.0M
Cash
70.8M
EPS
1.19
Net Income
122.2M
Revenue
2.2B
Enterprise Value
2.4B
Trailing PE
14.4202
Forward PE
14.2653
Price Sales TTM
0.8142
Price Book MRQ
2.8457
EV Revenue
1.0148
EV EBITDA
6.3224
Financial Forecastist

Worsening financial engine

Revenue is accelerating +16.4% against the prior comparable period. Net margin is compressing by 1.8 pts. Net debt is building +225.0%.

Revenue +16.4% Net Income -7.9% FCF +14.3% Current Ratio 0.56x Forward Rev 0
Worsening
Quarter Revenue
1.1B
+16.4%
vs prior comparable quarter
Net Margin
+6.7%
-1.8 pts
profitability pulse
Free Cash Flow
112.9M
+14.3%
cash conversion
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.1x
+225.0%
lower is cleaner
Revenue Engine

Latest quarter printed 1.1B with the top line pushing higher against the last comparable period.

Profit Stack

Net income landed at 75.7M and the margin profile is tightening. That usually tells us whether operating leverage is finally kicking in.

Balance-Sheet Pressure

Cash sits near 70.8M while net debt is 404.0M. The leverage stack is moving the wrong way.

Quarterly Revenue Runway

Actual revenue bars, consensus revenue where available, plus the terminal model path.

Profit And Cash Conversion

Net income and free cash flow moving together is usually what separates genuine improvement from noise.

Balance-Sheet Pressure

Cash, net debt and liquidity tell us whether the business is strengthening or just surviving.

Annual Power Curve

Longer-cycle revenue and net income help frame whether the company is compounding or rolling over.
Q1 2024
Consensus
0
Revenue Path
0.00
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue -
Q2 2024
Consensus
0
Revenue Path
0.00
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue -
Q3 2024
Consensus
0
Revenue Path
0.00
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue -
Q1 2025
Consensus
0
Revenue Path
0.00
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue -
FY 2026
Consensus
2.3B
Revenue Path
1.24
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue +0.0%
FY 2027
Consensus
2.4B
Revenue Path
1.29
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue +0.0%

Quarterly Statement Tape

Last 6 Quarters
Period Revenue Net Income FCF Net Debt
Q4 2025 1.1B 75.7M 112.9M 404.0M
Q2 2025 1.0B 46.5M -40.9M 418.9M
Q4 2024 1.1B 98.3M 24.1M 289.8M
Q2 2024 960.6M 55.1M 56.8M 185.5M
Q4 2023 965.6M 82.2M 98.8M 124.3M
Q3 2023 844.0M 60.3M 20.0M -

Annual Financial Power

Last 5 Years
Period Revenue Net Income EBITDA FCF
FY 2025 2.2B 122.2M 344.3M 73.7M
FY 2024 2.0B 153.4M 357.5M 70.0M
FY 2023 1.8B 142.5M 323.6M 112.7M
FY 2022 1.5B 120.3M 271.3M 148.2M
FY 2021 1.2B 117.5M 260.4M 231.2M

Structure DNA

Market Structure DNA

Income Anchor profile with trend mixed

Price is 29.3% through the 52-week range, +3.3% vs 50DMA and +1.4% vs 200DMA. 58.3% of the register is locked by institutions and insiders, leaving 41.7% free float. Capital rhythm reads semi-annual with forward yield near 4.2% and payout around 84.2%.

Trend mixed Institutional gravity Reliable income rhythm As Of 2026-04-19
Income Anchor
Structure Score
73.8 / 100
Income Anchor
Trend Stack
+3.3% / +1.4%
vs 50DMA / 200DMA
52W Position
29.3%
auction position inside the yearly range
Ownership Lock
58.3%
54.0% institutions | 4.3% insiders
Pressure Pocket
11.8% short float
Short ratio 0.0x | monthly -
Capital Rhythm
Semi-Annual
Yield 4.2% | payout 84.2%
Trend Runway

Implied spot is 1,643.00 with the stock +3.3% vs 50DMA and +1.4% vs 200DMA. The tape is sitting 29.3% through the 52-week range, which frames the regime as trend mixed.

Ownership Register

Institutions hold about 54.0% and insiders about 4.3%, locking roughly 58.3% of the register and leaving 41.7% in free float. That reads as institutional gravity.

Pressure Pocket

Short pressure is running near 11.8% of float with short ratio 0.0x and monthly change -. That gives us a read on whether the tape is clean, crowded, or coiled.

Capital Rhythm

Dividend cadence reads semi-annual with 2 event(s) in the last full year, a five-year average of 2.0, and stability score 60.0/100. Forward yield sits near 4.2% while payout is around 84.2%.

Structure Score

One-glance gauge for the current market-structure regime.

Pillar Radar

Trend, ownership, pressure, and capital rhythm mapped on one wheel.

Position And Float Balance

Shows whether the stock is extended, tightly held, or carrying capital-return support.

Dividend Cadence Tape

Historical dividend-event counts help reveal how dependable the income rhythm has been.

Dividend Cadence Ledger

Semi-Annual
Year Dividend Count Context
2026 1 Current partial year
2025 2 Full year
2024 2 Full year
2023 2 Full year
2022 3 Full year
2021 1 Full year
2020 1 Full year
2019 2 Full year

Structure Facts

Live Snapshot
Implied Spot
1,643.00
derived from market cap / shares
52W High
2,211.27
upper auction edge
52W Low
1,407.20
lower auction edge
Beta
1.17
volatility character
Shares Out
102.0M
fully diluted count
Shares Float
100.3M
tradable register
Shares Short
0
borrowed stock
Short Ratio
0.0x
days-to-cover style read
Ex-Dividend
2026-04-30
11 day(s) to ex-date
Dividend Pay
-
payment date not supplied
Last Split
10:1
2009-05-18

Capital Radar

Capital Regime
Building signal blend...
Smart Money Tilt
Public vs institutions
Target Conviction
Broker coverage pulse
Insider Pressure
Director + TR1 flow
Last Held Position
101955014
Public Hands
98.32
Institutions
-
Institutions As Of
-
Avg Broker Target
-
Upside Vs Price
-
Purchase Director Dealing
1
Sale Director Dealing
4
Purchase TR1
0
Sale TR1
0
Broker Coverage Rows
28
Institution Holders Tracked
0
Public Vs Institutional Ownership (3D)
Top Institution Holders (Latest Per Holder)
Director Dealing Sentiment Flow
Broker Target Bias
Signal: Pending
Capital Momentum Matrix
Broker Targets Vs Price
Aggregated Institution Weight By Holder

Short Data - Last 30 Days

Nexus Pulse Engine

Overall Buy/Sell/Hold
Signal: Pending
Technical Composite
Signal: Pending
Financial Composite
Signal: Pending
Fundamental Composite
Signal: Pending
Short Pressure
Signal: Pending
Momentum Bias
Signal: Pending

Volatility Lab

ATR(14)
Realized Vol (20d)
Volume Spike Z

AI Charts

News And Alerts First

The alert tape opens the door for GRG, and AI Charts sits just below.

Start with the headline flow and live catalyst tape first. Then move straight into AI Charts below for price reaction, AI targets, chart structure and catalyst beacons while the news context is still hot.
Live Tape Data 2026-01-15 AI Charts Below
Read the alert tape first, then move into AI Charts below. Use AI Expand on any catalyst card to open the AI explanation and results tables instantly.
1 Today
Catalyst Pulse
Greggs PLC has fresh news flow live now, so the tape is framing the chart workspace below.
AI Charts Studio
GRG Price History
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30 Day View Window 30D Data 2026-01-15 Open Preview Studio Brief
Chart Intelligence Suite
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Automated signalling scans momentum shifts, crossovers and volatility breaks in real time. Automated AI forecasts map best, average and worst simulation paths forward, predictive MACD extends the momentum story, and catalyst beacons pin market-moving headlines directly onto price action so users can connect news, signals and structure without leaving the chart.

Automated Signalling Automated AI Forecasts Predictive MACD Catalyst Beacons Live Price Structure
Indicators0
Technicals0
AI Forecast -2.72%
RSI Gauge
Price Change
AI Forecast