FGP - Ticker AI Digest

FirstGroup PLC 📰 1
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Today's Catalysts (FGP) 1
FGP 06:01
FirstGroup PLC
Transaction in Own Shares
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DirectorDealing 1
FGP 08:51
FirstGroup PLC
Director/PDMR Shareholding
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Launch 1
FGP 11:18
FirstGroup PLC
Launch of £50 million share buyback programme
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Reports 1
FGP 06:01
FirstGroup PLC
Half-year Report
AI Expand: Explanation + Tables
Return to today’s catalyst cards, chart beacons and AI charts.
FirstGroup released its half-yearly report for the 26 weeks to 28 September 2024, announcing a robust operational and financial performance. The Groups adjusted revenue grew to £649.6 million, reflecting strong underlying performance in First Bus and good demand in First Rail open access. The Groups adjusted operating profit was £100.8 million, with adjusted EPS of 8.5p for continuing operations. The interim dividend was declared at 1.7p per share, and an additional on-market share buyback programme of £50 million was announced. The Group maintained a strong balance sheet, with adjusted net debt at the period end of £0.2 million. Recent strategic acquisitions were also highlighted, including the acquisition of track access rights for a new rail open access service between London and Stirling. The Groups outlook for FY 2025 is slightly <mark style="background-color:yellow">ahead</mark> of expectations, with expected growth in First Bus and First Rail open access.
H1 2025 (£m)H1 2024 (£m)Cont.Disc.TotalCont.Disc.Total
Adjusted revenue1 649.6 - 649.6 634.8 - 634.8Adjusted operating profit/(loss)2 100.8 - 100.8 100.6 (2.2) 98.4Adjusted operating profit margin 15.5% 15.5% 15.8% 15.5%Adjusted profit/(loss) before tax2 70.8 (0.1) 70.7 73.5 (2.2) 71.3Adjusted EPS3,4 8.5p - 8.5p 8.1p (0.3)p 7.8pDividend per share 1.7p 1.5p
Adjusted net debt/(cash)5 0.2 (77.1)H1 2025 (£m)H1 2024 (£m)
Statutory Cont. Disc. Total Cont. Disc. TotalRevenue 2,344.1 - 2,344.1 2,207.0 - 2,207.0Operating profit/(loss) 100.3 5.9 106.2 (41.4) 0.1 (41.3)Profit/(loss) before tax6 70.3 5.8 76.1 (68.5) 0.1 (68.4)EPS4 9.2p (7.9)pNet debt 977.1 1,144.6
'Cont.' refers to the Continuing operations comprising First Bus, First Rail, and Group items. 'Disc.' refers to discontinued operations, being First Student, First Transit and Greyhound US.
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All Market News (Last 30 Days) 17
FGP 06:01
FirstGroup PLC
Transaction in Own Shares
FGP 06:01
FirstGroup PLC
Transaction in Own Shares
FGP 08:33
FirstGroup PLC
Total Voting Rights
FGP 06:01
FirstGroup PLC
Transaction in Own Shares
FGP 06:01
FirstGroup PLC
Transaction in Own Shares
FGP 06:01
FirstGroup PLC
Transaction in Own Shares
FGP 06:01
FirstGroup PLC
Transaction in Own Shares
FGP 06:01
FirstGroup PLC
Transaction in Own Shares
FGP 06:01
FirstGroup PLC
Transaction in Own Shares
FGP 06:01
FirstGroup PLC
Transaction in Own Shares
FGP 06:01
FirstGroup PLC
Transaction in Own Shares
FGP 06:01
FirstGroup PLC
Transaction in Own Shares
FGP 06:01
FirstGroup PLC
Transaction in Own Shares
FGP 08:51
FirstGroup PLC
Director/PDMR Shareholding
FGP 06:01
FirstGroup PLC
Transaction in Own Shares
FGP 11:18
FirstGroup PLC
Launch of £50 million share buyback programme
FGP 06:01
FirstGroup PLC
Half-year Report
AI Expand: Explanation + Tables
Return to today’s catalyst cards, chart beacons and AI charts.
FirstGroup released its half-yearly report for the 26 weeks to 28 September 2024, announcing a robust operational and financial performance. The Groups adjusted revenue grew to £649.6 million, reflecting strong underlying performance in First Bus and good demand in First Rail open access. The Groups adjusted operating profit was £100.8 million, with adjusted EPS of 8.5p for continuing operations. The interim dividend was declared at 1.7p per share, and an additional on-market share buyback programme of £50 million was announced. The Group maintained a strong balance sheet, with adjusted net debt at the period end of £0.2 million. Recent strategic acquisitions were also highlighted, including the acquisition of track access rights for a new rail open access service between London and Stirling. The Groups outlook for FY 2025 is slightly <mark style="background-color:yellow">ahead</mark> of expectations, with expected growth in First Bus and First Rail open access.
H1 2025 (£m)H1 2024 (£m)Cont.Disc.TotalCont.Disc.Total
Adjusted revenue1 649.6 - 649.6 634.8 - 634.8Adjusted operating profit/(loss)2 100.8 - 100.8 100.6 (2.2) 98.4Adjusted operating profit margin 15.5% 15.5% 15.8% 15.5%Adjusted profit/(loss) before tax2 70.8 (0.1) 70.7 73.5 (2.2) 71.3Adjusted EPS3,4 8.5p - 8.5p 8.1p (0.3)p 7.8pDividend per share 1.7p 1.5p
Adjusted net debt/(cash)5 0.2 (77.1)H1 2025 (£m)H1 2024 (£m)
Statutory Cont. Disc. Total Cont. Disc. TotalRevenue 2,344.1 - 2,344.1 2,207.0 - 2,207.0Operating profit/(loss) 100.3 5.9 106.2 (41.4) 0.1 (41.3)Profit/(loss) before tax6 70.3 5.8 76.1 (68.5) 0.1 (68.4)EPS4 9.2p (7.9)pNet debt 977.1 1,144.6
'Cont.' refers to the Continuing operations comprising First Bus, First Rail, and Group items. 'Disc.' refers to discontinued operations, being First Student, First Transit and Greyhound US.

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Fundamentals Matrix

Overall Fundamentals
Signal: Pending
Capital Strength
Signal: Pending
Float Liquidity
Signal: Pending
Short Pressure
Signal: Pending
Target Setup
Signal: Pending
Market Profile
Signal: Pending
Market Cap
960.8M
Enterprise Value
2.2B
Public Float
89.7
Broker Target
250
Shares Out
543.1M
Long Interest
67
Short Interest
33
Exchange
LSE
Currency Code
GBX
ISIN
GB0003452173
Market
LSE - MAIN MARKET
Sector
Travel and Leisure
Float / Shares Ratio
-
Short vs Long Delta
-
EV / Market Cap
-

Financials Matrix

News And Alerts First

1 live alert now opens the financials desk for FGP.

Start with the headline flow and alert tape first. Then drop straight into Financial Forecastist below for the revenue path, EPS shape, cash pressure and balance-sheet read while the catalyst context is still hot.
Live Alerts Data 2024-12-04 Forecastist Below
Read the alert tape first, then move into Financial Forecastist below. Use AI Expand on any catalyst card to open the AI explanation and results tables without losing the ticker context.
1 Alerts
Front Of Desk
FirstGroup PLC has fresh filing flow live now, so the tape is framing the revenue, leverage and valuation story below.
06:01 Today's Alert Transaction in Own Shares
Overall Stability
Signal: Pending
Profitability
Signal: Pending
Debt & Cash
Signal: Pending
Valuation Risk
Signal: Pending
Forward Expectation
Signal: Pending
Dividend Safety
Signal: Pending
Divi Rate
0.07
Ex Divi
2025-11-27
Earnings Date
2025-11-18
Net Debt
1.2B
Cash
171.4M
EPS
0.21
Net Income
127.5M
Revenue
4.7B
Enterprise Value
2.2B
Trailing PE
8.4238
Forward PE
8.4317
Price Sales TTM
0.1925
Price Book MRQ
1.5665
EV Revenue
0.3976
EV EBITDA
2.1382
Financial Forecastist

Worsening financial engine

Revenue is accelerating +4.1% against the prior comparable period. Net margin is expanding by 4.9 pts. Net debt is coming down +55.5%.

Revenue +4.1% Net Income -200.7% FCF -35.4% Current Ratio 0.70x Forward Rev 0
Worsening
Quarter Revenue
2.3B
+4.1%
vs prior comparable quarter
Net Margin
+2.4%
+4.9 pts
profitability pulse
Free Cash Flow
68.0M
-35.4%
cash conversion
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.1x
-55.5%
lower is cleaner
Revenue Engine

Latest quarter printed 2.3B with the top line pushing higher against the last comparable period.

Profit Stack

Net income landed at 55.5M and the margin profile is broadening. That usually tells us whether operating leverage is finally kicking in.

Balance-Sheet Pressure

Cash sits near 421.0M while net debt is 844.8M. The leverage stack is cleaning up.

Quarterly Revenue Runway

Actual revenue bars, consensus revenue where available, plus the terminal model path.

Profit And Cash Conversion

Net income and free cash flow moving together is usually what separates genuine improvement from noise.

Balance-Sheet Pressure

Cash, net debt and liquidity tell us whether the business is strengthening or just surviving.

Annual Power Curve

Longer-cycle revenue and net income help frame whether the company is compounding or rolling over.
Q4 2023
Consensus
0
Revenue Path
0.00
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue -
Q2 2024
Consensus
0
Revenue Path
0.00
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue -
Q3 2024
Consensus
0
Revenue Path
0.00
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue -
Q4 2024
Consensus
0
Revenue Path
0.00
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue -
FY 2026
Consensus
4.4B
Revenue Path
0.20
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue +0.0%
FY 2027
Consensus
3.8B
Revenue Path
0.21
EPS / Earnings
Growth cue +0.0%

Quarterly Statement Tape

Last 6 Quarters
Period Revenue Net Income FCF Net Debt
Q3 2025 2.3B 55.5M 68.0M 844.8M
Q1 2025 2.7B 71.7M 364.0M 1.2B
Q3 2024 2.3B 55.8M 242.4M 977.7M
Q1 2024 2.5B 39.2M 228.9M 1.1B
Q3 2023 2.2B -55.1M 105.3M 1.9B
Q1 2023 2.5B 87.7M 247.3M 2.2B

Annual Financial Power

Last 5 Years
Period Revenue Net Income EBITDA FCF
FY 2025 4.7B 127.5M 849.8M 597.8M
FY 2024 4.7B -15.9M 656.2M 324.0M
FY 2023 4.8B 87.1M 896.7M 395.9M
FY 2022 4.6B 636.4M 863.6M -186.2M
FY 2021 4.3B 78.4M 857.3M 814.8M

Structure DNA

Market Structure DNA

Income Anchor profile with trend broken

Price is 31.9% through the 52-week range, +0.8% vs 50DMA and -9.4% vs 200DMA. 92.6% of the register is locked by institutions and insiders, leaving 7.4% free float. Capital rhythm reads semi-annual with forward yield near 3.9% and payout around 32.0%.

Trend broken Institutional gravity Reliable income rhythm As Of 2026-04-19
Income Anchor
Structure Score
66.3 / 100
Income Anchor
Trend Stack
+0.8% / -9.4%
vs 50DMA / 200DMA
52W Position
31.9%
auction position inside the yearly range
Ownership Lock
92.6%
87.8% institutions | 4.8% insiders
Pressure Pocket
7.4% free float
Vendor short-float fields were not supplied
Capital Rhythm
Semi-Annual
Yield 3.9% | payout 32.0%
Trend Runway

Implied spot is 179.60 with the stock +0.8% vs 50DMA and -9.4% vs 200DMA. The tape is sitting 31.9% through the 52-week range, which frames the regime as trend broken.

Ownership Register

Institutions hold about 87.8% and insiders about 4.8%, locking roughly 92.6% of the register and leaving 7.4% in free float. That reads as institutional gravity.

Pressure Pocket

The API did not return a usable short-float field for this ticker, so the pressure score leans more on float lock and crowding than a full short ledger.

Capital Rhythm

Dividend cadence reads semi-annual with 2 event(s) in the last full year, a five-year average of 1.8, and stability score 80.0/100. Forward yield sits near 3.9% while payout is around 32.0%.

Structure Score

One-glance gauge for the current market-structure regime.

Pillar Radar

Trend, ownership, pressure, and capital rhythm mapped on one wheel.

Position And Float Balance

Shows whether the stock is extended, tightly held, or carrying capital-return support.

Dividend Cadence Tape

Historical dividend-event counts help reveal how dependable the income rhythm has been.

Dividend Cadence Ledger

Semi-Annual
Year Dividend Count Context
2025 2 Full year
2024 2 Full year
2023 2 Full year
2022 2 Full year
2013 1 Full year
2012 2 Full year
2011 2 Full year
2010 2 Full year

Structure Facts

Live Snapshot
Implied Spot
179.60
derived from market cap / shares
52W High
237.42
upper auction edge
52W Low
152.46
lower auction edge
Beta
0.72
volatility character
Shares Out
543.1M
fully diluted count
Shares Float
487.0M
tradable register
Shares Short
0
borrowed stock
Short Ratio
0.0x
days-to-cover style read
Ex-Dividend
2025-11-27
-143 day(s) to ex-date
Dividend Pay
-
payment date not supplied
Last Split
823:671
2013-06-11

Capital Radar

Capital Regime
—
Building signal blend...
Smart Money Tilt
—
Public vs institutions
Target Conviction
—
Broker coverage pulse
Insider Pressure
—
Director + TR1 flow
Last Held Position
-
Public Hands
-
Institutions
24.242
Institutions As Of
2026-01-05
Avg Broker Target
-
Upside Vs Price
-
Purchase Director Dealing
17
Sale Director Dealing
4
Purchase TR1
6
Sale TR1
9
Broker Coverage Rows
7
Institution Holders Tracked
4
Public Vs Institutional Ownership (3D)
Top Institution Holders (Latest Per Holder)
Director Dealing Sentiment Flow
Broker Target Bias
Signal: Pending
Capital Momentum Matrix
Broker Targets Vs Price
Aggregated Institution Weight By Holder

Short Data - Last 30 Days

Nexus Pulse Engine

Overall Buy/Sell/Hold
Signal: Pending
Technical Composite
Signal: Pending
Financial Composite
Signal: Pending
Fundamental Composite
Signal: Pending
Short Pressure
Signal: Pending
Momentum Bias
Signal: Pending

Volatility Lab

ATR(14)
Realized Vol (20d)
Volume Spike Z

AI Charts

News And Alerts First

The alert tape opens the door for FGP, and AI Charts sits just below.

Start with the headline flow and live catalyst tape first. Then move straight into AI Charts below for price reaction, AI targets, chart structure and catalyst beacons while the news context is still hot.
Live Tape Data 2024-12-04 AI Charts Below
Read the alert tape first, then move into AI Charts below. Use AI Expand on any catalyst card to open the AI explanation and results tables instantly.
1 Today
Catalyst Pulse
FirstGroup PLC has fresh news flow live now, so the tape is framing the chart workspace below.
06:01 Today's Catalyst Transaction in Own Shares
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FGP Price History
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AI Forecast 20.66%
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